PROJECT · GLASS & CERAMICS

Hydrogen or electrification?Choosing a pathway for high-temperature heat.

A European glass producer approaching a major furnace rebuild needed to decide how its next generation of melting capacity should be powered.

Terravia compared electric, hybrid and hydrogen-based furnace pathways across technical performance, energy economics, infrastructure requirements and long-term flexibility.

  • Technology & Economics
  • Investment Roadmaps
Discuss a similar challenge
Glass furnace in operation with intense process heat

AT A GLANCE

One furnace rebuild.A decision for the next decade.

3
technology configurations assessed
12
energy scenarios modelled
7
critical variables tested
2032
recommended conversion window
Client
European glass manufacturer
Sector
Glass & Ceramics
Geography
Europe
Scope
High-temperature furnace transition
Expertise
Technology & Economics · Investment Roadmaps

THE CHALLENGE

The next furnacecould define the site for years.

The existing gas-fired furnace was approaching the end of its campaign.

Replacing it like-for-like would minimise near-term disruption, but risk locking fossil-fuel consumption into another long operating cycle.

Moving immediately to a fundamentally different technology introduced a different set of risks around process performance, infrastructure and future energy costs.

The company needed to make the decision before those uncertainties were fully resolved.

THREE QUESTIONS

  1. 01

    Can electricity deliver the process?

    Determine how far electric melting could meet temperature, throughput, glass-quality and operational requirements.

  2. 02

    Does hydrogen preserve more flexibility?

    Assess whether hydrogen could retain combustion-based furnace characteristics while delivering meaningful emissions reductions.

  3. 03

    Which uncertainty should the company accept?

    Compare technology, infrastructure and energy-price risks rather than selecting a pathway from headline emissions alone.

THE EXISTING ASSET

Start with whatthe furnace must deliver.

Before comparing energy carriers, Terravia established the technical requirements that any future furnace configuration would need to satisfy.

Fuel
Natural gas
Production
~550 tonnes/day
Operating Model
Continuous production
Campaign End
2032
Primary Constraint
Product quality and continuous throughput

ASSESSMENT BASELINE

  • Melting temperature
  • Daily throughput
  • Glass composition
  • Furnace atmosphere
  • Energy intensity
  • Operating profile
  • Product-quality tolerances
  • Existing electrical connection
  • Site footprint
  • Furnace campaign timing

The objective was not to identify the lowest-carbon technology in isolation. It was to identify the lowest-carbon pathway capable of operating the plant.

THREE PATHWAYS

Electric. Hybrid. Hydrogen.

Three furnace configurations were taken forward for detailed comparison.

PATHWAY A · HIGH-ELECTRIC

Make electricity the primary energy source.

High electrical contribution with minimal combustion support.

ADVANTAGES

  • Very high emissions-reduction potential
  • High conversion efficiency
  • Reduced direct combustion
  • Strong long-term fit with renewable power

CHALLENGES

  • Major electrical demand
  • Grid reinforcement
  • Process integration
  • Greater technology change

PATHWAY B · HYBRID

Combine electricity and combustion.

A substantial electrical contribution combined with flexible gaseous-fuel combustion.

ADVANTAGES

  • Significant emissions reduction
  • Operational flexibility
  • Lower grid requirement than full electrification
  • Progressive transition

CHALLENGES

  • Retains some combustion
  • Dual energy infrastructure
  • More complex operating strategy
  • Ultimate emissions depend on future fuel

PATHWAY C · HYDROGEN-READY

Preserve combustion. Change the molecule.

Combustion-based furnace designed for high hydrogen utilisation.

ADVANTAGES

  • Familiar thermal architecture
  • Potential for deep emissions reduction
  • Reduced dependence on full electrification
  • Compatibility with future hydrogen supply

CHALLENGES

  • Hydrogen availability
  • High energy cost
  • New fuel infrastructure
  • Combustion and NOx considerations

TECHNICAL COMPARISON

Each pathway solvesa different constraint.

*Dependent on hydrogen production pathway.

ILLUSTRATIVE ASSESSMENT
CriteriaHigh-ElectricHybridHydrogen-Ready
Emissions potentialVery highHighVery high*
Technology maturityMedium–HighHighDeveloping
Process changeHighModerateModerate
Electrical requirementVery highHighModerate
Fuel infrastructureLowMediumVery high
Operational flexibilityMediumVery highHigh
Retrofit compatibilityLowMediumHigh
Energy uncertaintyElectricityElectricity + fuelHydrogen

Product quality

Could each configuration maintain the required furnace atmosphere and glass characteristics?

Throughput

Could the technology support continuous production at the required capacity?

Furnace lifetime

Would the new configuration achieve an acceptable operating campaign?

Controllability

How would operators manage temperature distribution and production changes?

Technology maturity

Was the configuration ready for a commercial investment of this scale?

ENERGY ECONOMICS

The technology decisionbecame an energy-price decision.

CAPEX mattered, but long-term energy expenditure dominated the difference between pathways.

Terravia therefore modelled the furnace across twelve combinations of electricity, gas, hydrogen and carbon prices.

No single pathway won under every scenario. The strongest choice depended on how much uncertainty the company was prepared to accept around future electricity and hydrogen prices.

Current gas furnace

100

Illustrative operating cost index

High-electric

82–118

Operating cost index

Hybrid

88–112

Operating cost index

Hydrogen-ready

105–154

Operating cost index

CRITICAL VARIABLES

What the economicsdepend on.

Electricity price

The dominant driver of high-electric furnace economics.

Hydrogen price

The largest uncertainty behind the hydrogen pathway.

Carbon price

Increases the long-term cost of retaining fossil combustion.

Capacity factor

Continuous furnace utilisation magnifies differences in energy cost.

Grid charges

Materially affect the delivered cost of large-scale electrification.

CAPEX

Important, but smaller over the full furnace campaign than cumulative energy expenditure.

BEYOND THE FURNACE

The energy system hadto change with the asset.

Each technology created a fundamentally different infrastructure requirement outside the furnace itself.

High-Electric

Required
Major grid reinforcement

ENABLING WORKS

  • High-voltage connection
  • New transformers
  • Site distribution upgrades
  • Electrical redundancy
  • Grid-capacity reservation

+65 MW

additional electrical capacity

Hybrid

Required
Electrical reinforcement + flexible fuel system

ENABLING WORKS

  • Grid reinforcement
  • Electrical furnace systems
  • Existing gas connection
  • Hydrogen-ready fuel design
  • Dual-energy controls

+35 MW

additional electrical capacity

Hydrogen-Ready

Required
New hydrogen supply infrastructure

ENABLING WORKS

  • Hydrogen connection
  • On-site storage or buffering
  • Fuel-system conversion
  • Safety infrastructure
  • New combustion equipment

~18 kt/yr

future hydrogen requirement

THE DECISION

Electrify deeply.Preserve flexibility.

Terravia recommended a high-electric hybrid furnace rather than committing immediately to either full electrification or hydrogen combustion.

The configuration provided substantial near-term emissions reduction while maintaining sufficient combustion flexibility to protect production performance.

It also avoided making the investment case dependent on large-scale low-carbon hydrogen becoming available at a competitive price by 2032.

01

Reduce emissions immediately.

A high electrical contribution materially lowers direct fossil-fuel consumption from the beginning of the new furnace campaign.

02

Limit infrastructure exposure.

The required grid reinforcement remained significant but materially below the requirement for the highest-electric configuration.

03

Preserve operational flexibility.

Combustion capacity provides additional control across changing production conditions and technology uncertainty.

04

Keep hydrogen optional.

The combustion system can be designed to accommodate increasing hydrogen blends if supply economics improve.

INVESTMENT ROADMAP

Prepare the infrastructurebefore replacing the furnace.

2027–2028 · VALIDATE

Test the decision.

ACTIONS

  • Complete furnace technology trials
  • Confirm product-quality performance
  • Refine electricity demand
  • Monitor hydrogen market development
  • Begin grid discussions

2028–2029 · ENABLE

Prepare the system.

Decision Gate
Proceed with high-electric hybrid configuration

ACTIONS

  • Reserve additional grid capacity
  • Define high-voltage connection
  • Complete furnace concept design
  • Develop hydrogen-ready combustion specification
  • Confirm investment case

2030–2031 · BUILD

Build the infrastructure.

ACTIONS

  • Complete grid reinforcement
  • Install transformers and site infrastructure
  • Manufacture furnace systems
  • Prepare production transition
  • Finalise commissioning programme

2032 · CONVERT

Replace the furnace.

ACTIONS

  • Retire existing furnace
  • Install new hybrid furnace
  • Commission electrical systems
  • Validate production quality
  • Ramp to full capacity

2035+ · OPTIMISE

Use future optionality.

ACTIONS

  • Increase electrical contribution where economic
  • Assess hydrogen blending
  • Respond to power-market development
  • Revisit full-electric pathway for next campaign

THE RESULT

A furnace decisionwith room to adapt.

3
Technology pathways compared

Electric, hybrid and hydrogen-based configurations were evaluated against the same technical and economic framework.

12
Energy scenarios modelled

The recommendation was tested across different electricity, gas, hydrogen and carbon-price futures.

~60%
Initial direct-emissions reduction

The recommended configuration materially reduces fossil combustion from the beginning of the new furnace campaign.

2032
Conversion window

Infrastructure preparation and technology decisions were sequenced around the existing furnace's natural replacement cycle.

PROJECT DELIVERABLES

The evidence behinda decade-long asset decision.

01

Furnace Requirements Baseline

A structured definition of process, quality, throughput and operational requirements.

02

Technology Assessment

Technical comparison of high-electric, hybrid and hydrogen-ready furnace configurations.

03

Energy Scenario Model

Twelve scenarios covering electricity, gas, hydrogen and carbon-price uncertainty.

04

Lifecycle Economic Model

CAPEX and operating-cost comparison across the full furnace campaign.

05

Infrastructure Assessment

Grid, electrical and hydrogen requirements associated with each pathway.

06

Technology Recommendation

A preferred high-electric hybrid configuration with defined flexibility for future energy-system development.

07

Investment Roadmap

A phased programme from infrastructure preparation through furnace replacement and future optimisation.

EXPERTISE USED

Compare the technology.Then plan the commitment.

Technology & Economics

Compare competing furnace technologies across process performance, infrastructure requirements and long-term energy economics.

Explore Technology & Economics

Investment Roadmaps

Sequence enabling infrastructure and major capital commitments around the furnace replacement cycle.

Explore Investment Roadmaps

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START A CONVERSATION

What should power your next furnace?

If you are approaching a major furnace investment and need to choose between electrification, hybrid systems or alternative fuels, Terravia can help test the technologies, economics and infrastructure before the decision becomes irreversible.

Talk to our team